The Edge Letter · Smart Flow

Where the proven money is moving

We rank Polymarket’s public leaderboard by realized profit, trace every trade those wallets make, and print the net flow — rank-weighted, timestamped, from public on-chain data nobody else assembles into a daily board. The doctrine: follow flow, don’t copy it. Most positions are noise; the signal is where multiple proven-PnL wallets independently converge — and even they miss. On July 15 the top-3 wallets had $513k on a World Cup draw at 35¢ and lost it in stoppage time. This board tells you where the sharp money is, never what you should do.

Top-20 PnL wallets (1m window) · trades ≥ $500 in the last 24h · fetched 2026-11-08 00:10Z · resolution-cashout trades (≥97¢ / ≤3¢) filtered out

Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)

Pacers · 1 ranked wallet (rank 2) · last 48¢ at 11-07 21:59Z

$258,441ACCUMULATING

Buys: $258,441 · Sells: $0

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?

No · 1 ranked wallet (rank 2) · last 40¢ at 11-07 17:30Z

$169,200ACCUMULATING

Buys: $169,200 · Sells: $0

Cincinnati vs. Houston

Houston · 1 ranked wallet (rank 8) · last 85¢ at 11-07 23:14Z

$162,395ACCUMULATING

Buys: $162,395 · Sells: $0

Alabama vs. LSU

LSU · 1 ranked wallet (rank 8) · last 46¢ at 11-07 23:16Z

$160,382ACCUMULATING

Buys: $160,382 · Sells: $0

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Gen.G · 1 ranked wallet (rank 8) · last 95¢ at 11-08 00:08Z

$112,287ACCUMULATING

Buys: $112,287 · Sells: $0

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

Wizards · 3 ranked wallets (ranks 8, 12, 13) · last 46¢ at 11-07 23:57Z

$82,041ACCUMULATING

Buys: $82,041 · Sells: $0

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner

Gen.G · 1 ranked wallet (rank 8) · last 70¢ at 11-08 00:02Z

$70,000ACCUMULATING

Buys: $70,000 · Sells: $0

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner

Invictus Gaming · 1 ranked wallet (rank 8) · last 30¢ at 11-08 00:01Z

$28,124ACCUMULATING

Buys: $28,124 · Sells: $0

Nuggets vs. Pacers

Pacers · 1 ranked wallet (rank 2) · last 27¢ at 11-07 22:07Z

$17,780ACCUMULATING

Buys: $17,780 · Sells: $0

Will EC Juventude win on 2026-11-06?

No · 1 ranked wallet (rank 8) · last 60¢ at 11-07 23:17Z

$20,649ACCUMULATING

Buys: $20,649 · Sells: $0

Iowa vs. Northwestern

Iowa · 1 ranked wallet (rank 12) · last 58¢ at 11-08 00:07Z

$22,073ACCUMULATING

Buys: $22,073 · Sells: $0

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner

Invictus Gaming · 1 ranked wallet (rank 8) · last 19¢ at 11-07 23:12Z

$18,123ACCUMULATING

Buys: $18,123 · Sells: $0

Giants vs. Eagles

Giants · 2 ranked wallets (ranks 8, 19) · last 60¢ at 11-07 23:53Z

$19,700ACCUMULATING

Buys: $19,700 · Sells: $0

Spread: Giants (-5.5)

Eagles · 1 ranked wallet (rank 12) · last 59¢ at 11-07 23:56Z

$15,170ACCUMULATING

Buys: $15,170 · Sells: $0

Spread: Thunder (-11.5)

Thunder · 1 ranked wallet (rank 12) · last 52¢ at 11-07 23:54Z

$14,495ACCUMULATING

Buys: $14,495 · Sells: $0

Source: Polymarket public data APIs (leaderboard, trades), fetched and timestamped by our pipeline. Wallet identities are public leaderboard ranks. We hold no positions, receive no platform compensation, and nothing here is personalized advice or an instruction to trade. Analysis for informational and entertainment purposes only. 21+ · 1-800-GAMBLER.