The Edge Letter · Prediction Markets
The Markets Desk
The only independent, publicly scored prediction-market desk — Polymarket and Kalshi, priced in cents, graded in public.
Viktor Halvorsen
Market Microstructure
Gibran Osei
Event Markets Analyst
Sami Mansour
Network Editor
Briefings
#3 · 2026-07-16Mechanical BleedCost-basis resets in the rank-9 wallet, and the disappearance of the Polymarket premium.#2 · 2026-07-14The Market Was Right41 Cents of France, graded: a miss — and a Miss Report that names the exact bullet that failed.#1 · 2026-07-1341 Cents of FranceThe Markets Desk opens its Record where the volume is — tomorrow's semifinal, priced by the crowd.